Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability Guidance-Atlantic Basin
| 96-Hour Loop of Real-time Formation Probability | Real-Time |
Climatological |
Anomaly |
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| Probability of TC Formation within 24 Hours |  |
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850 hPa Circulation (kt) TC Formation Threshold |
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Percent Pixels Colder than -40°C TC Formation Threshold |
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850-200 hPa Vertical Shear (kt) TC Formation Threshold |
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Vertical Instability (°C) TC Formation Threshold |
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Cloud-cleared Water Vapor Brightness Temperature (°C) TC Formation Threshold |
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850 hPa Horizontal Divergence (x10-5 s-1) TC Formation Threshold |
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Subbasin Areas
Time Series Products on Subbasins
TC Formation Probability |
850 hPa Circulation |
Percent WV Pixels < -40°C |
850-200 hPa Vertical Shear |
Vertical Instability |
Cloud-cleared WV Brightness Temperature |
850 hPa Horizontal Divergence (x10-5 s-1) |
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| Gulf of Mexico |  |
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| Caribbean |  |
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| East Coast |  |
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| Tropical Atlantic |  |
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| Sub-tropical Atlantic |  |
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