Skip to main content.

National Weather Service Forecast Discussion

Related quick links> 5 Day Forecast, Local Advisories, Drought Monitor, UV Forecast, Air Quality Forecast

377
FXUS64 KHGX 041016
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
516 AM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Seasonably hot with highs in the 90s and heat index values
  101-108F each day.

- An isolated late day shower can`t be ruled out along the
  seabreeze, but most locations will remain dry.

- Slightly better rain chances expected Thursday into the weekend
  with some deeper moisture moving in from the Gulf.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1153 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Clear to partly cloudy skies and warm temperatures anticipated
tonight with lows in mainly in the mid to upper 70s inland and the
upper 70s to lower 80s along the coast. There is a chance for
some isolated patchy fog early Tuesday morning, but chances are
low. Fog, if any, will burn off quickly shortly after sunrise.

Weather conditions will remain hot and on the dry side through
mid-week as the mid to upper level ridge remains situated over
Arizona, New Mexico, and extends into Texas. Expect the highs to
peak in the upper 90s inland (some isolated spots reaching 100 deg
F) and the lower to mid 90s along the coast through Wednesday.
Heat indices will peak between 103-108 deg F...thus, make sure to
continue to protect yourself, your loved ones, and pets from the
heat. From Thursday into the upcoming weekend, the highs are
expected to range in the lower to mid 90s inland (although some
spots could peak in the upper 90s) and the upper 80s to lower 90s
along the coast.

Subsidence will help limit rain chances early in the week.
Slightly better chances for showers (20-40%) are expected mid week
into the upcoming weekend as surface moisture moves in from the
Gulf waters and increases PWs. A good portion of these showers
are expected to develop near/along the seabreeze during the
afternoon to early evening hours.

Cotto

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 516 AM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

Satellite and observations reveal low-end MVFR ceilings currently
over CLL and approaching UTS early this morning. Can`t entirely
rule out these reduced ceilings extending into CXO by sunrise.
Additionally, periods of patchy fog have brought reduced
visibility to LBX as well. VFR conditions will return area-wide by
15Z. Light SSW winds this morning will become S to SSE in the
afternoon with wind speeds approaching 8-12 kt. Isolated SH/TS
possible this afternoon between 21Z-01Z mainly around the Houston
metro terminals. Winds trend back towards light and variable
overnight with potential for another round of patchy fog and
reduced ceilings mainly west of I-45 going into Wednesday morning.
Ceilings/visibilities improve back to VFR by 15Z on Wednesday with
S to SE winds around 8-12 kt prevailing. Another round of isolated
afternoon SH/TS will be possible.

Batiste

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1153 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Light to occasionally moderate onshore winds and seas of 1-3 feet
are expected through the upcoming weekend. A slight increase in
rain chances can be expected during the weekend.

Cotto

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  99  77  98  77 /   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)  99  79  98  79 /  10  10  10   0
Galveston (GLS)  92  83  90  83 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Cotto
AVIATION...Batiste
MARINE...Cotto

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion