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National Weather Service Forecast Discussion

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100
FXUS64 KHGX 011108
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
508 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Freezing temperatures this morning will climb into the 50s this
  afternoon. Continued warming in the early week period.

- Low astronomical tides will lead to negative water levels around
  low tide cycles in the bays the next couple days.

- Rain chances return Tuesday ahead of the next front that will be
  pushing through Tuesday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1217 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Once we get past the cold temperatures this morning, we`ll see
warmer temperatures heading into early parts of the week as high
pressure pushes off to the east and southerly winds resume. These
southerly winds will draw Gulf moisture back into the
region...eventually enough so that`ll we`ll see some shower &
isolated tstm chances return to the forecast on Tuesday and
Tuesday night in advance of the next cold front that`ll be moving
through the region Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Clearing
skies and a dry nw flow aloft/ridging behind the front should then
round out the remainder of the work week and into the weekend. 47

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 449 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Light winds will shift northerly to south/southwesterly this
afternoon. Chance for some patchy fog near the coast early Monday
morning. Rest of the area will likely see VFR conditions continue
to dominate throughout the TAF period.

03

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1217 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

As high pressure moves off to the east today, we will see a return
of onshore winds. Winds and seas will gradually increase late Monday
and Tuesday. The next front, preceded by some showers, is expected
to push off the coast late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. A
few things we are watching: though gradual recovery is anticipated
into early in the week, astronomical tides remain low and we will
likely see negative water levels for the next couple days around low
tide cycles. We`ll also be keeping an eye on the sea fog potential
Monday night into Tuesday night. The last few fronts cooled the
water temperatures into the upper 40s-low 50s. With the return of
onshore winds, dewpoints will climb above the sea surface
temperatures which under many circumstances are favorable for some
sea fog. However, at this time, conditions do not appear ideal
for dense fog (SSE-SW winds 10+ knots), though we could see some
reduced visibilities at times. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  55  37  69  58 /   0   0   0  10
Houston (IAH)  54  38  69  58 /   0   0   0  10
Galveston (GLS)  52  46  63  58 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Freeze Warning until 9 AM CST this morning for TXZ163-164-
     176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>237-300.

GM...Low Water Advisory until 6 AM CST Monday for GMZ330-335.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...03
MARINE...47

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion