Skip to main content.

National Weather Service Forecast Discussion

Related quick links> 5 Day Forecast, Local Advisories, Drought Monitor, UV Forecast, Air Quality Forecast 
396
FXUS64 KHGX 281131
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
531 AM CST Wed Jan 28 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Though not widespread, there may be some localized spots of
  patchy freezing fog late tonight into around 8am...mainly in
  the northern Piney Woods and northern Brazos Valley.

- Next cold front pushes through Thursday night, but Arctic air
  really doesn`t filter in until Friday night.

- Hard freezes for parts of the area Friday night & Saturday
  night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1223 AM CST Wed Jan 28 2026

A high pressure area near the Tx Panhandle will slide sewd toward
the area overnight and in the morning. Prior to the more "substantial"
northerly winds filling back in, it looks like with clear skies, light
winds and a slight recovery of the dewpoints might allow for some
patchy fog development...namely south of I-10 and also northern
parts of the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods. Where temps are below
freezing, it`ll be freezing fog...so motorists might see some
glazing on their car/windshields in the morning.

High pressure slides off to the east tonight, and we should see some
moderating temperatures Thursday ahead of our next front that pushes
through the region Thursday night. Moisture return will be very
limited prior to its arrival, so with the exception of maybe well
offshore, anticipate this will be a dry fropa. Though this initial
front will be a legit cool down by SE TX standards, the much colder
Arctic air will probably hold off until it really spills in
Friday night and Saturday when the 1040mb+ high sags southward
into Texas. Another hard freeze is looking pretty likely north of
about Highway 105 Friday night and roughly along an Edna-The
Woodlands-Liberty line Saturday night with just modest warm-ups
during the daytime hours through the weekend.

The cold surface ridge slides eastward Monday followed by a
resumption of onshore winds, modifying temps and increasing
moisture levels early next week. We could see a coastal trof try
and develop and bring us some rain chances by early Tues, but if
not...guidance is on board with decent chances Wed along the next
incoming front. 47

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 531 AM CST Wed Jan 28 2026

Fog cropping up about the area, but away from most TAF
sites...except SGR and LBX, where dense patches have developed,
and some FZFG potential with temps below freezing. Elsewhere, may
be scraps of fog here and there, but shouldn`t be enough to reduce
flight category.

Once fog dissipates in a couple hours, becomes nothing but VFR
(SKC, maybe a little cirrus) with light/VRB winds.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1223 AM CST Wed Jan 28 2026

Light winds and low seas will prevail for the next few days. The
next cold front will push off the coast Thursday night...with a
reinforcing shot of cold, Arctic air anticipated Friday night. Look
for SCA conditions with elevated north winds and elevated seas
through Saturday...gradually decreasing Sunday. On the bays,
already low astronomical tides will produce some negative water
levels this week...and especially more so Friday into the weekend
with stronger north winds in place. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  51  28  61  31 /   0   0   0  10
Houston (IAH)  56  33  65  36 /   0   0   0  10
Galveston (GLS)  54  47  61  41 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Low Water Advisory until 6 PM CST Thursday for GMZ330-335.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...Luchs
MARINE...47

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion