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National Weather Service Forecast Discussion

025
FXUS64 KHGX 100642
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
142 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hazardous marine conditions (winds/seas) are expected through
  early Saturday, with elevated risk of rip currents and minor
  coastal flooding continuing through Saturday evening.

- Lower humidity through Saturday, resulting in seasonable
  overnight lows but above normal daytime highs.

- Gradual warming trend into next week with isolated rain chances
  daily.

- Cold front on the horizon... generally around Friday-Saturday.
  Cooler fall temps and higher rain chances possible.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1121 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

Weather will, for the most part, remain benign through the week
with highs in the low 90s and lows in the 60s to low 70s. Onshore
winds will begin pulling in moisture Saturday through the end of
the week. While SE Texas will remain under the influence of a mid-
upper level ridge, some showers could develop along the sea
breeze each afternoon as it moves inland.

Beyond day 7, models continue to show a cold front sweeping
through SE Texas with cooler temperatures on the horizon. While
still pretty far off in the forecast, general timing appears to be
next weekend.

Bailey

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 142 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

VFR conditions will remain for the entire TAF cycle. Inland NE winds
continue between 5-10kts and relax to LGT and VRB overnight. Along
the coast, winds remain slightly elevated. Winds on Saturday pick
back up throughout our area in the afternoon between 5-10kts out
of the E then shift out of the SSE by evening.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1121 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

Wave heights could still reach 6-8 ft at times through tonight,
pushing 9 ft in the lightering area. Small Craft Advisories remain
in effect through 7 AM Saturday. An increased risk for rip
currents will continue through Saturday evening. Conditions
improve into Saturday with winds veering southeasterly in the
afternoon, then increasing slightly into Sunday. Showers and
storms will be possible almost daily with higher rain chances
expected next week.

Bailey

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  93  66  93  69 /   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)  91  69  92  72 /   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)  84  78  85  80 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for TXZ436>439.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for GMZ350-355-
     370-375.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Bailey
AVIATION...BSM
MARINE...Bailey

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion