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National Weather Service Forecast Discussion

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726
FXUS64 KHGX 252351
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
651 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Few storms may clip portions of the Piney Woods area early
  today... cannot fully rule out a stronger storm or two.

- Isolated strong to severe storms will be possible over the area
  this afternoon and evening.

- Gradual warming trend with temperatures reaching into the upper
  80s to lower 90s this weekend.

- Above normal temperatures continue during the early to middle
  part of next week, with at least isolated showers and
  thunderstorms possible over portions of the region each day.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 148 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

Partly cloudy skies are being observed across most of SE Texas
this afternoon. Expect warm and humid conditions to continue for
the majority of the area through the afternoon. Will need to keep
an eye on the sea breeze--as it moves inland, it could trigger a
few storms. While we are not outlooked in any severe weather risk
(higher risk remains well to our north), I do want to mention that
CAPE is in excess of 2000 J/kg, bulk shear is around 35-40 kts,
and we do have moisture available (PWATs above average)..so, if
any storms do initiate along or ahead of the sea breeze, they do
have the potential to become organized and produce damaging winds
and hail. Any storms should weaken close to sunset with the loss
of daytime heating.

Tonight, skies will be mostly cloudy with patchy fog possible
overnight into Sunday morning.

Sunday should be similar today, while most areas will remain dry,
cannot rule out storms developing along the sea breeze. Will make
mention that with similar conditions as today, storms on Sunday
will also have the potential to become strong.

For next week, a shortwave trough is projected to lift NE across
the plains, ejecting a cold front towards SE Texas. The cold front
is expected to slow/stall on approach the Brazos Valley/Piney
Woods which may lead to some showers and storms developing across
northern counties. Zonal flow aloft is expected to develop
Tuesday as a mid-level high becomes established to our south. A
few shortwaves will generate in the predominant zonal flow and
track through SE Texas. This will result in increasing rain
chances through the week next week. By Friday, another mid-upper
level shortwave is projected to pass through Texas and bring an
associated cold front along with it. If the cold front makes it
through the area, we may have some cooler and breezier weather
heading into next weekend.

Bailey

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 639 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

MVFR-IFR CIGs are anticipated to build in from the coast
tonight. Fog and lower CIGs to LIFR levels may also develop in
spots, particularly in areas closer to the coastline early Sunday
morning. During the overnight hours, we`ll have to watch for
some possible showers and storms to the north/northeast of KUTS
due to outflow coming from northeast Texas. CIGs should slowly
scatter and lift out Sunday morning through the afternoon with VFR
conditions prevailing thereafter. MVFR-IFR conditions fill back in
Sunday night.

03

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 148 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

Light to moderate southeasterly winds should continue through the
next several days. Elevated water levels around 2.5 to 3.0 feet
above MLLW are expected at each high tide cycle through early next
week. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible each day
through the weekend. A slight increase in winds and seas are
expected beginning around Tuesday next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  72  90  72  91 /  10   0   0  10
Houston (IAH)  73  90  74  91 /   0   0   0  10
Galveston (GLS)  74  81  75  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Bailey
AVIATION...03
MARINE...Bailey

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion