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National Weather Service Forecast Discussion

607
FXUS64 KHGX 100514
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1214 AM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered, diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms will
  remain in the forecast for the next several days.

- High temperatures will generally be in the low to mid 90s inland
  and the upper 80s to lower 90s along the coast.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1214 AM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026

No significant change is anticipated in the wx pattern the next few
days. Still looking at a general mid level weakness stretching
across the region, sandwiched between ridges to the east & west.
PW`s should remain at, or above, 2" today and Friday which should
allow for the continuation of scattered diurnally driven showers and
thunderstorms.  Southern parts of the area should again see the
higher overall coverage with the seabreeze & baybreeze coming into
play, but CAMs have been underdoing chances across northern parts of
the region so have nudged POPs up a touch there. We saw a few
isolated strong cells Wednesday afternoon with some 40mph winds, pea
size hail, and 2-3" rain rates. Those will again be possible - but
not the rule.

Heading into Saturday, it appears the shear/trof axis might become
situated moreso across the southeastern half of the CWA, which could
limit POPs across the Brazos Valley but maintain scattered activity
further SSE. Late weekend into early next week, eastern mid level
ridging slowly builds back into the region and nudges any remnant
weakness to the west. As this occurs, we`ll probably see some
slightly warmer temps and slightly lower inland rain chances (but
not eliminated) as we head into the mid and late parts of the work
week. 47

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1214 AM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026

Mainly a forecast of persistence...primarily VFR conditions
outside of scattered late night & morning coastal shra/tstms
that`ll expand inland during the day. Like yesterday, a few
isolated stronger storms will be capable of producing some
30-40mph gusts, lightning, and reduced visibility should one make
it directly over an individual terminal. Activity should wane in
the evening hours with the loss of heating.

MLG

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1214 AM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026

Light onshore flow and low seas will prevail for the next several
days, although with a slightly tighter pressure gradient forecast we
will probably see a light bump in speeds and seas tonight into the
weekend (10-15kt and 2-4ft) versus the even lower values we`ve seen
as of late. The main concern for mariners will be dodging the late
night and morning scattered showers and thunderstorms. For the
second day in a row we`ve received reports of coastal
funnels/waterspouts, so with a mostly unchanged environment we
wouldn`t be surprised to hear of a few more today. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  95  75  96  76 /  30  20  30  20
Houston (IAH)  92  77  93  78 /  40  20  40  20
Galveston (GLS)  89  82  90  83 /  50  30  50  40

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...MLG
MARINE...47

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion