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National Weather Service Forecast Discussion

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968
FXUS64 KHGX 240536
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1136 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Onshore flow returns on today, warming conditions through
  Thursday ahead of another cold front Thursday afternoon/evening.

- Cold front stalls over the Gulf on Friday with onshore flow
  returning Friday night. Warm weather continues afterwards.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1130 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

Onshore flow returns today as surface high pressure slides off to
the east. This will usher in a warming trend through mid week with
highs today reaching the upper 60s/lower 70s with overnight lows in
the upper 50s/lower 60s. We`ll also see some breezy weather settle
in too as the gradient tightens from a deepening low near the TX/OK
panhandle. Temperatures for Wednesday should see a significant bump
with highs reaching the 70s/mid 80s across the area with lows
overnight generally in the 60s.

Thursday should be pretty warm during the daytime with highs pushing
the upper 80s in some spots. However, a cold front is anticipated to
push through SE Texas in the evening later stalling out over the
gulf water. This will briefly cool down the region with lows for
Friday morning dropping to the 50s/60s. Highs on Friday will be
slightly cooler, though the day itself will still be pretty warm
with afternoon highs climbing to the 70s/lower 80s. Onshore flow
returns Friday night, allowing the warming trend to resume through
the weekend into next week.

03

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 512 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

VFR. Winds will continue to relax this evening and become VRB at
5 knots or less tonight. During the day Tue, expect S winds at
around 10 knots in the morning, strengthening to 12-17 knots with
gusts up to 25 knots in the afternoon. Winds will remain elevated,
around 08-12 knots, Tue night. Llvl wind shear may be a concern
for Tue night as a 30-40 knot llvl jet develops overhead.

Cotto

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1130 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

Negative water levels are anticipated in the bays, reaching around -
0.5 ft MLLW at low tide this morning. Onshore flow returns and
strengthens today as well. A Small Craft Advisory will be in effect
early this evening through at least Thursday morning. Could see
some lulls in wind speeds during the daytime on Wednesday, though
winds should strengthen again Wednesday night. A dry cold front
will push off the coast Thursday evening, stalling off in the gulf
on Friday. Onshore flow rapidly returns by Friday night.

03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  63  36  73  57 /   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)  65  40  73  60 /   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)  60  52  69  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM Tuesday to 6 AM CST Thursday for
     GMZ330-350-355-370-375.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...03
AVIATION...Cotto
MARINE...03

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion