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National Weather Service Forecast Discussion

931
FXUS64 KHGX 081047
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
547 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Expect increasingly warm and humid conditions as the week
  progresses.

- Chance of showers and thunderstorms increases, with the
  potential for locally heavy rainfall Friday into Saturday.

- Strong rip currents possible along gulf-facing beaches this
  week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1021 PM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

Low-level moisture is set to increase over the coming days as we
have the return of southeasterly winds. Most of the moisture will
be confined to the coastal areas and Gulf waters to start. As a
result, may see some showers pop up along those areas (15-20%
chance) Wednesday afternoon/night. Otherwise, expect skies to be
partly cloudy to sunny with highs in the upper 80s.

Thursday is projected to be a little more active as moisture
across the area continues to increase and a weak coastal trough
develops along the TX coast. Coverage of showers and storms will
start off isolated to scattered Thursday morning as activity moves
in from the Gulf. By Thursday afternoon, daytime heating will
contribute to destabilization and activity will push further
inland. Highest PoPs lie along and south of the I-10 corridor.

Rain chances are expected to continue Thursday night into Friday.
Coverage is expected to increase Friday in response to a weak
mid-upper level trough that will traverse the state. Scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected for areas along
and south of I-10 during the morning hours Friday. As the day
progresses, and daytime heating plays its role, expect more
showers and storms to develop further inland. With the amount of
available moisture, some of these showers and storms could produce
locally heavy rainfall. While no significant flooding is
anticipated, water could pond on roadways and low-lying
areas. Highs for Friday are expected to be in the upper 70s for
the majority of the area.

Activity will taper off overnight Friday into Saturday morning.
Any showers will likely be confined to the coast. Saturday will
feature an upper-level ridge building into the area, which should
limit rain chances. However, a weak disturbance may interact with
lingering moisture and result in isolated to scattered showers
and thunderstorms along and south of I-10 and west of I-45.

As for Sunday into early next week, still going to see those rain
chances to continue, with the highest chances over the Brazos
Valley/Piney Woods during the afternoon hours with peak heating.

Bailey

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 544 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

VFR today with gradually increasing SE winds later today. Low
level moisture increases overnight and we could see some
intermittent MVFR ceilings develop toward morning. Patchy fog
can`t be ruled out west of I-45 late tonight as well...but
guidance suggests low vsbys should be situated west of our TAF
sites.  47

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1021 PM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

Light to moderate southeast winds will continue through early
next week. Winds are expected to be the strongest during the
early night to mid- morning hours. Caution Flags may be required
at times. Strong rip currents are also possible along the Gulf
facing beaches. Seas will be 3 to 5 feet through Thursday,
however, a swell driven by stronger winds over the eastern and
northern Gulf waters is expected to move into our local area and
increase seas to 4-7 feet late Thursday into early next week. Seas
could be slightly higher over the offshore Gulf waters. Caution
flags and/or Small Craft Advisories may be needed. There is a
daily chance for showers and thunderstorms through the weekend,
highest on Thursday night into Friday. Elevated winds and seas may
occur in and around strong thunderstorms.

Cotto/Bailey

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  81  58  82  64 /   0   0  20  20
Houston (IAH)  81  63  81  67 /  10  10  30  20
Galveston (GLS)  76  70  77  70 /  10  20  40  30

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Bailey
AVIATION...Bailey
MARINE...Bailey

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion