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National Weather Service Forecast Discussion

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090
FXUS64 KHGX 111139
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
539 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Except at the coast, breezy north winds gradually diminish overnight.
  For the mariners, Small Craft and Low Water Advisories continue
  until noon Sunday.

- Fairly seasonable weather is expected through most of next
  week.

- The next two cold fronts are penciled in for Wednesday and
  Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1147 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Quiet weather will prevail for the latter part of the weekend with
temperatures recovering into the 60s. The trough that contributed to
the unsettled weather and frontal boundary from earlier in the
weekend will retreat westward over the Baja Peninsula before
swinging back east on Monday and tracking through the state Tuesday.
As it tracks through Texas it will become embedded a second trough
stationed to our east. Given a lack of low-level moisture return
post-front, not expecting this trough to produce anything more than
cloudy skies and a few sprinkles on its approach. As the trough
continues off to the east, a cold front will follow from behind late
Wednesday/Wednesday night. This will send daytime highs back into
the 50s to low 60s for Thursday.

Highs will rebound into the 60s to low 70s for Friday as southerly
flow returns; however, the warm weather will be short-lived as
another front approaches in time for the weekend. There may be
enough moisture return ahead of this front along with some mid-
upper level moisture brought in from the Pacific to contribute to
our next chance of rain.

Bailey

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 533 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

VFR conditions will persist with passing mid and upper level
clouds. Northerly winds around 8-12kt will persist through this
afternoon with higher gusts at GLS to 20-25kt. Winds lower this
evening to below 6kt and gradually turn more northeasterly by
Monday morning.

Fowler

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1147 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Moderate to strong north winds and elevated seas will continue
into Sunday morning before gradually diminishing during the day
Sunday. Moderate to strong offshore flow has pushed some water
out of the bays and mariners should anticipate negative tide
levels...especially around low tide cycles through late Sunday
morning. Small Craft Advisories and a Low Water Advisory will
remain in effect through noon Sunday. High pressure will move
overhead early next week allowing for light winds and continued
subsiding seas. The next cold front is expected to push into the
waters late Wednesday or Wednesday night. SCAs will likely be
needed behind this front too.

47/Bailey

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  61  38  61  42 /   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)  62  42  61  44 /   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)  61  49  58  51 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Low Water Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ330-335.

     Small Craft Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ330-335.

     Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM CST this afternoon for GMZ350-
     355-370-375.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Bailey
AVIATION...Fowler
MARINE...Bailey

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion