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National Weather Service Forecast Discussion

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861
FXUS64 KHGX 260524
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1224 AM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Weather remains about status quo through Friday - warm and dry.

- A weak/dry cool front will move through the region Friday night
  early Saturday. While it won`t rain, it will bring lower
  humidity and temperatures in the 70s to low 80s Saturday.

- The lower humidity will be short-lived; an uptick in moisture
  and a return to above-normal temperatures are expected heading
  into early next week. Maybe some slight rain chances during the
  second part of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026

Warm and dry wx continues today and Friday. There will be some late
night and morning clouds and patchy fog, but that should burn off
fairly quickly in the morning. Pressure gradient will be a bit
tighter today, so look for SSE winds to increase to 10-15 mph as the
day progresses with some gusts to 20-25 mph at times this afternoon.

Shallow cold front still forecast to move into the region Friday
night bringing some drier and slightly cooler air into the region
Saturday and Saturday night. By Sunday, the surface high behind it
should be situated far enough to our east that we`ll see onshore
winds resume...and along with it, gradually increasing dewpoints and
humidities as we progress through early next week.

Beyond that, the good news is that the strong pesky mid-upper
ridging that has been dominating area wx weakens and passes to our
east by midweek. This would at least open the door for a less
subsident environment and maybe allow for the return of some low
rain chances during the second half of next week. Medium range
guidance suggests the potential for a trof to make its way across
the Plains next Thurs-Fri, but there are some differences in
regards to its overall strength/timing/forcing at this point. 47

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 613 PM CDT Wed Mar 25 2026

Tonight`s outlook is pretty much a persistence forecast,
featuring lower cigs/vis overnight. Areas of IFR are in the
forecast once again, particularly after 06Z and before 14Z. The
lowest confidence is near the coast where guidance is showing
mostly VFR conditions. Our forecast continues to show sub-VFR
developing at the coast. But to give some weight to the guidance,
we went with higher coastal cigs/vis compared to last night.
Vis/cigs trend VFR by mid/late morning tomorrow as winds increase
from the S then SE. Could have sustained near 15 knots with
occasional gusts over 20 knots tomorrow.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026

Light to moderate south-southeast winds low seas will prevail
through Friday. Winds could be locally gusty in the bays during the
late afternoon hours today. A cold front is expected to push off the
coast late Friday night bringing a period of moderate northeast and
east winds and some higher seas into Saturday. Caution flags may be
needed for a short period of time during the morning into early
afternoon hours. Southeast winds should resume Sunday then continue
for much of next week.  47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  87  64  87  58 /   0   0  10   0
Houston (IAH)  85  64  87  61 /   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)  76  68  78  64 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...Self
MARINE...47

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion