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National Weather Service Forecast Discussion

089
FXUS64 KHGX 061123
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
523 AM CST Tue Jan 6 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dense Fog Advisory in effect through 9 AM for portions of SE
  Texas

- Patchy to areas of fog possible nightly through midweek.

- Warming weather over the next few days with temperatures back
  into the 80s by Tuesday. Cold front on Friday ushers in cooler
  weather for this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1211 AM CST Tue Jan 6 2026

Fog has begun to spread across portions of SE Texas, with the more
dense fog occurring south of the I-10 corridor. Expect fog to become
more widespread as the night progresses. A Dense Fog Advisory is in
effect for portions of Southeast Texas through 9 AM. Slightly
elevated southwesterly winds will help to keep fog a bit more
manageable further north and west from the coast. Expect this trend
of inland and sea fog to continue through most of the week.

With regard to temperatures...the warming trend continues with near
record to record breaking highs possible today and Wednesday.
Temperatures will generally be in the upper 70s to low 80s inland
and in the mid 70s along the coastal areas through Thursday. Lows
will generally be in the 60s through much of the week with the
exception of Tuesday night into Wednesday where temperatures in the
Piney Wood and portions of the Brazos Valley will dip into the 40s
to 50s. This can be attributed to a frontal boundary that will stall
over that area, bringing a brief round of drier air.
Lows will recover into the 60s Wednesday before the next cold front
set to arrive at the end of the work week.

Low to medium chance of showers and thunderstorms in association
with an upper level trough and FROPA Thursday and Friday,
respectively. Highest chances of rainfall lie along and east of I-45
and across the Gulf Waters. The timing of the FROPA could result in
cooler daytime temperatures for Friday, especially with general
consensus suggesting a morning frontal passage.

All in all, expect cooler weather to return for the weekend with
highs in the 60s and lows in the 30s/40s.

Bailey

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 518 AM CST Tue Jan 6 2026

We begin the day with widespread MVFR/IFR conditions along with
areas of LIFR. Cigs/vis should gradually improve later this
morning, yielding to a VFR afternoon. Winds will average out of
the southwest around 10 knots, but may occasionally be higher near
15 knots. Winds decrease this evening, with another around of
lower vis/cigs overnight. Once again, confidence is high that
flight conditions will deteriorate to at least MVFR, if not IFR
tonight into tomorrow morning. Drier air pushing in from the north
could keep vis/cigs higher in our northern terminals, especially
CLL.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1211 AM CST Tue Jan 6 2026

Winds will become southwesterly overnight into today. However,
the potential for sea fog development exists overnight,
especially around Galveston Bay and the adjacent Gulf waters. Sea
fog is more likely tonight and Tuesday night. Warmer temperatures
(leading to warmer water temperatures) and increasing winds will
likely inhibit sea fog development after midweek. There is
potential for caution flags Wednesday night through Thursday due
to the increased winds.

The next period of increased winds will be in the wake of a cold
front that pushes offshore on Friday. Scattered showers and storms
will be possible ahead of and along the frontal boundary as it
pushes through. A period of the moderate northerly winds and
elevated seas will prevail into the weekend. Small Craft Advisories
may be needed for this timeframe.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  82  57  80  65 /   0   0   0  10
Houston (IAH)  81  63  81  67 /   0   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)  72  63  72  65 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for TXZ200-213-
     214-226-227-235>238-300-313-335>338-436>439.

GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for GMZ335-350-
     355.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Bailey
AVIATION...Self
MARINE...Bailey

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion