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Storm Prediction Center Outlooks - Days 4 - 8
Move cursor over product parameter name to display the graphic below.
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| D4 | Thu January 15th 2026 - Fri January 16th 2026 |
D7 | Sun January 18th 2026 - Mon January 19th 2026 |
| D5 | Fri January 16th 2026 - Sat January 17th 2026 |
D8 | Mon January 19th 2026 - Tue January 20th 2026 |
| D6 | Sat January 17th 2026 - Sun January 18th 2026 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
Note: A severe weather
area depicted in the Day 4-8 period indicates a 30% or higher probability
for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of any point.
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be
possible based on some model scenarios.
However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt
due to: 1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions,
2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or
3) minimal run-to-run continuity.
POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of
organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire
period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe
storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).
Images courtesy of the NWS Storm Prediction Center
| Convective Outlook Discussion - Day 4-8 |
Convective Outlook unavailable, please try later.
NWS Storm Prediction Center Day 4-8 Outlook
