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Storm Prediction Center Outlooks - Days 4 - 8
Move cursor over product parameter name to display the graphic below.
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| D4 | Sun February 01st 2026 - Mon February 02nd 2026 |
D7 | Wed February 04th 2026 - Thu February 05th 2026 |
| D5 | Mon February 02nd 2026 - Tue February 03rd 2026 |
D8 | Thu February 05th 2026 - Fri February 06th 2026 |
| D6 | Tue February 03rd 2026 - Wed February 04th 2026 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
Note: A severe weather
area depicted in the Day 4-8 period indicates a 30% or higher probability
for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of any point.
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be
possible based on some model scenarios.
However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt
due to: 1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions,
2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or
3) minimal run-to-run continuity.
POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of
organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire
period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe
storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).
Images courtesy of the NWS Storm Prediction Center
| Convective Outlook Discussion - Day 4-8 |
Convective Outlook unavailable, please try later.
NWS Storm Prediction Center Day 4-8 Outlook